18 augusti 2014

Put Selling Income: Sandvik



Selling puts is a excellent strategy for generating income and building capital. The key is to avoid speculative companies and focus on stabile large cap stocks that ideally pay a dividend. We're pretty much talking about the stocks that many investors find boring!

This is important because if you are ever 'put' the stock (i.e required to purchase shares at the strike price) you must have confidence to hold the stock and that the price will eventually recover so you will at least get your capital back. Large cap dividend payers don't usually disappear quickly and the dividend provides a cushion to your investment.


As it is, most options in Sweden are only available on large caps anyway so the temptation to bet on the twitters and facebooks of this world is not possible. For example Sandvik is a global engineering group that i) sells tools and equipment to the mining and constructions industries ii) is a world-leading developer and manufacturer of products made from advanced stainless steel grades and special alloys for the most demanding industries.


In the current rolling year it had 85000 MSEK ($12.4 billion) in revenue and made 4700 MSEK ($685M) in profits; although these are falling from 2012 highs which explains the stock price action. The company has a large exposure to the mining industry so business is being affected by the current downturn. It has a P/E 22 and pays a dividend yield of 4.1%. Expected profits for the year are 5.41 SEK per share giving a P/E 2014 16.6 at the current price of 85.4 SEK.


Below is a weekly chart of the share price over the past three years.






The price level of 80 SEK looks interesting; 5.8% below the current price. The stock last touched here in June 2013 before going sideways the past year between 85-95. Before that we have to go back to end of 2012 when Sandvik was selling at 80 SEK. 

Last week I was able to sell the Nov 80 put for 1.5 SEK. This means for every contract I sold (100 shares) I received 150 SEK but must be prepared, if assigned, to buy Sandvik stock at 80 SEK, costing 8000 SEK per contract, in the coming three months. This is a return of about 1.8% on my capital, 7.5% per annum.


It's not big money but I already have capital committed to other investments so instead of the usual goal of 1% per month I wanted a lower risk of assignment, so aimed for 0.5% return per month. However, the margin requirements to keep this trade open are roughly about 20% of the total (e.g. 0.2 * 8000 = 1600 per contract) increasing the return to a 'hypothetical 37.5%' per annum.


I say a 'hypothetical 37.5%' as it would be asking for big trouble to fully use the margin available all year round for these type of trades. A quick down turn in the market could mean being put a lot of stocks, more than you can afford and then a dreaded margin call.  Nevertheless the margin is available for use when required and comes interest free.


I have also decided to avoid being assigned Sandvik stock, I would rather use my capital for other investments, so if the stock price does reach 80 SEK, I will buy back the puts (most likely at a loss) then roll them down by reselling them at a lower strike price e.g. 77.5 SEK. I will also have to go further out in months to Dec or Jan to get my money back and keep the trade profitable.


The 'worst case' scenario is I unexpectedly get put stock early. I can either resell it and sell the puts as mentioned above or immediately sell covered calls to continue generating income. If the stock continues to fall I may have to apply more capital and/or other option strategies to get my money back and ideally still create a profit.

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